U.S. General Election 2024

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US Election 2024 | How Elections Affect the Stock Market

US election results finally show Red Sweep, author's article before election”A week that will change history, a guide to the US election” Judging by the market sentiment after Red Sweep, the level of hyperactivity was much higher than expected. Mainly because Trump achieved overwhelming results in many swing states, and polls also reflected much higher than expected support for Trump, although the details no longer matter, the results were interpreted by the markets as a signal that Trump is trading, and markets believe Trump's tax cuts and stimulus policies will Will be implemented vigorously.

This optimistic expectation, though, leads to $USD(USDindex.FX)$ und $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD)$ Increased outperformance of risk assets, but also led to an increase in risk appetite. Against the backdrop of Trump's trading, the performance of cryptocurrencies, financial stocks, and small and medium-sized stocks is more pronounced.

$ Bitcoin (BTC.CC) $ Three major U.S. stock indexes hit all-time highs yesterday $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ Medium-sized and small-cap stocks that have reached historic highs $Russell 2000 Index(.RUT.US)$ It is also innovative. But considering that energy blocks and commodity prices are lagging behind, it reflects that money is centered around Trump's stimulus economic policies, not individual themes. Therefore, in this scenario, a number of relevant asset classes with strong fundamentals and at the same time high fundamentals and economic sensitivity are more advantageous.

Cryptocurrencies will be the beneficiaries of the US elections

In the evolution of the cryptocurrency industry, Web3 has always been a long-term target, and cryptocurrencies are naturally sought after as market risks increase. It is worth noting that in the wake of the US elections, in addition to BTC hitting all-time highs, other cryptocurrencies have seen significant gains, and some Alt-Coins are clearly being sought for funds, and the mood of the currency circle has changed dramatically. The four currencies you can trade on the go $ Bitcoin (BTC.CC) $ $ Ether (ETH.CC) $ $ ChainLink (LINK.CC) $ $ Avalanche Coin (AVAX.CC) $ There was also a significant rise.

U.S. Election Advantage Related Concepts Stocks

Signs of a bull rush across the crypto market led to yesterday's relevant concept shares in the US equity market $Coinbase(COIN.US)$ Tumbled 31%, Tuen Coin's $MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)$ Also up more than 13%, the mining company $MARA Holdings(MARA.US)$ It also rose by more than 19%. These cryptocurrency concept stocks will be the main beneficiaries of this round of US elections.

BTC Bitcoin
BTC Bitcoin

In terms of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is back at a new high, as yesterday's live analysis and earlier articles said, BTC on the technical trend has already shown a breakthrough, and the double-bottom formed earlier, has shown resistance at the 65000 point neckline in the past, especially the adjustment on October 23 can show strength. If the price has the opportunity to go back to 10 antennas, it is conditional and look forward to the target price level mentioned in the earlier article about $81000.

Ether is also worth paying attention to in the US elections

In addition, for progressive investors, individuals think that the trend of Ethereum is more worth paying attention to. With the US election favoring cryptocurrencies, the price has recently managed to break through a rectangular area. From the point of view of technical analysis, high chasing is now also a strategy for bearish trading.

Ether is also worth keeping an eye on in the Trump trade

From a technical analysis point of view, the earlier rectangular area was around $2200~2800, as measured by the upside, and the price was looking at $3400 after breaking through, i.e. the peak of the bounce around July this year. Looking at the current situation, there is certainly little chance of this wave occurring. The 20 antenna can also be referred to as a stop for erosion.

Warm tips

From a technical analysis point of view, the return on ETH investment strategies may now be higher than BTC. BUT TAURUS SHOULD ALSO CONSIDER PERSONAL INVESTMENT ORIENTATION AND GOALS. IF YOU WANT TO OPERATE WITH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, YOU SHOULD STRICTLY OBSERVE THE ABOVE TARGET PRICES AND STOP POSITIONS AND CONSTANTLY LOOK FOR SUITABLE BUY POSITIONS, STOP EROSION POSITIONS AND TARGETS FROM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, MOST IMPORTANTLY, TO TRADE ON THE SIDE. However, if investors are deploying long-term investments in the form of “fiat currencies”, they may be better suited as an investment destination for rarefaction BTC.

  • Author Information

    The author is a licensee of the Securities and Exchange Commission and its affiliates do not have any financial interest in the proposed issuer of shares mentioned above.

    Tam Chi Lok

    Chief Analyst of Futu Securities

    CE No.CentralCode: AVJ390

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